Ward Math Cards — Toronto 2026

This is the raw math of every Toronto council race, one card per ward — each ward’s own 2022 turnout, its 2022 baseline margin, who has filed to run in 2026, and when each of them registered, built strictly from this project’s own receipted election dataset. Per-ward turnout was compiled for all 25 wards on 2026-08-15 from the City Clerk’s official 2022 voter-statistics dataset, and each percentage is recomputed from that ward’s own elector and ballot integers — the citywide figure (29.66%) is carried alongside it as a comparison, never as a substitute. Every filed candidate is listed once, alphabetically by surname, with no ranking or characterization — that’s the receipts culture this whole project runs on.

Provisional — data as of 2026-08-16; nominations close August 21, 2026. Filed-candidate counts and competitiveness tiers will change as more candidates register; each ward page carries its own receipt with the exact source and date. These figures are 2022 municipal turnout — a different election and a different denominator from any federal figure elsewhere on this site.

Read next: the whole field, honestly mapped — the standing baseline these cards sit inside — and the Platform Baseline, every candidate’s published platform measured for breadth, depth and quality. Back up to State of the Election for the full biweekly record.

All 25 wards

data as of 2026-08-16

Ward	Name	Filed (as of 2026-08-16)	2022 turnout	2022 margin
1	Ward 01 — Etobicoke North	7	23.96%	20.5pt
2	Ward 02 — Etobicoke Centre	2	29.93%	61.9pt
3	Ward 03 — Etobicoke-Lakeshore	4	32.63%	6.1pt
4	Ward 04 — Parkdale-High Park	9	38.45%	3.9pt
5	Ward 05 — York South-Weston	7	28.36%	0.4pt
6	Ward 06 — York Centre	2	25.07%	62.0pt
7	Ward 07 — Humber River-Black Creek	3	22.09%	38.7pt
8	Ward 08 — Eglinton-Lawrence	6	31.58%	56.1pt
9	Ward 09 — Davenport	4	30.57%	57.5pt
10	Ward 10 — Spadina-Fort York	8	24.41%	15.2pt
11	Ward 11 — University-Rosedale	10	31.97%	0.5pt
12	Ward 12 — Toronto-St. Paul's	6	33.56%	77.0pt
13	Ward 13 — Toronto Centre	9	28.81%	30.2pt
14	Ward 14 — Toronto-Danforth	2	35.72%	66.8pt
15	Ward 15 — Don Valley West	3	32.58%	61.4pt
16	Ward 16 — Don Valley East	3	30.50%	24.0pt
17	Ward 17 — Don Valley North	6	26.52%	58.3pt
18	Ward 18 — Willowdale	4	29.20%	8.1pt
19	Ward 19 — Beaches-East York	10	36.40%	32.0pt
20	Ward 20 — Scarborough Southwest	10	32.34%	5.5pt
21	Ward 21 — Scarborough Centre	10	26.48%	41.5pt
22	Ward 22 — Scarborough-Agincourt	7	26.03%	30.2pt
23	Ward 23 — Scarborough North	5	25.09%	24.6pt
24	Ward 24 — Scarborough-Guildwood	3	26.53%	65.4pt
25	Ward 25 — Scarborough-Rouge Park	5	27.25%	54.7pt

Every figure on this site carries a date. Every correction is public, not quiet. Read the method: How we verify · found something wrong? Tell us.

— The Unknown Soldier · uniteTOlove · Toronto