Ward 19 — Beaches-East York
Beaches-East York runs along the lake in Toronto's east end — the Beach(es) neighbourhood, Upper Beaches/East End-Danforth, Woodbine Corridor, East Danforth, and part of Old East York. It's a lower-rise, largely residential ward with a historic Carnegie library on Kew Gardens, a subway line along its northern edge, and a GO station midway through a multi-year relocation and rebuild.
The Aug 31, 2026 federal by-election here
Nate Erskine-Smith, the Liberal MP who held the seat since 2015, resigned effective July 7, 2026. Prime Minister Mark Carney called the by-election for Monday, August 31, 2026. This is a federal race — the office is Member of Parliament for Beaches–East York, not a city council seat, and it runs on Elections Canada’s rules, not the City of Toronto’s.
The riding is not the ward. The federal riding of Beaches–East York (electoral district 35007) and the City of Toronto’s Ward 19 “Beaches-East York” share the same cardinal boundary streets in their public descriptions — Coxwell Avenue (west), Sunrise Avenue/the Don River (north), Victoria Park Avenue (east), Lake Ontario (south) — but they are legally distinct boundaries, not the same map. One candidate’s own published release states plainly that riding-level figures “closely align with, though [are] not identical to,” the ward. If you want to confirm which federal riding your address is in before voting, use Elections Canada’s own lookup at elections.ca — Voter Information Service rather than assuming your ward and your riding match.
Key dates
- Election day: Monday, August 31, 2026, 9:30 a.m.–9:30 p.m. (EDT), at your assigned polling station.
- Advance polls: Friday, Aug 21 through Monday, Aug 24, 2026, 9 a.m.–9 p.m. each day, at your assigned advance station.
- Vote early / special ballot at the local Elections Canada office: 2575 Danforth Avenue, Unit 10, Toronto — any time now through Tuesday, Aug 25, 6 p.m. Hours: Mon–Fri 9 a.m.–9 p.m., Sat 9 a.m.–6 p.m., Sun 12–4 p.m. Tel. 1-866-236-8618.
- Vote by mail: apply online or at the local office by Tuesday, Aug 25, 6 p.m.; completed ballots must reach Elections Canada by election day (or be dropped at the local office until polls close).
The candidates (6, final — alphabetical by surname, identical fields)
| Candidate | Party | Website |
|---|---|---|
| Shannon Devine | New Democratic Party | shannondevine.ca |
| Michel Lachance | People’s Party of Canada | peoplespartyofcanada.ca/candidate/michel-lachance |
| Bruce Livesey | Green Party of Canada | no campaign website on file |
| Tanveer Shahnawaz | Liberal Party of Canada | tanveer.liberal.ca |
| Jim Syrbos | Conservative Party of Canada | no campaign website on file |
| Cameron Thomas | Canadian Future Party | thecanadianfutureparty.ca — Cameron Thomas |
Registering & voting
- You must be a Canadian citizen, 18+ on election day, and have lived in the riding since July 26, 2026.
- Check or update your registration at ereg.elections.ca; you can also register at the polls with the right ID.
- ID: one government photo ID with your name and current address — or two pieces of ID both with your name, at least one with your address — or declare in writing and have a registered elector at your polling station vouch for you. Full list: elections.ca — ID to Vote.
This page is also the full profile of the riding. Below the council race you will find how Beaches—East York actually participates (the real 72.16% turnout, the half of it cast before election day, and the 47.6-point spread inside one riding), what changed since 2021 and the correction we had to publish, who lives here against how they vote, where the riding has nobody at all, how word travels here, what neighbours report to the City, what is proposed on this land, and exactly how every figure was derived — starting, directly under the council race, with six data stories and an interactive atlas. Jump to participation, who lives here, or how we know this.
The race & the 2022 baseline
- Office: Councillor, Ward 19 - Beaches-East York
- Seats: 1
- Incumbent: Brad Bradford — running in 2026: no — open seat: yes
2022 result: Brad Bradford won by 32.0 percentage points over the runner-up — a landslide, not a close call. Source: City of Toronto official 2022 election results, as_of 2026-08-16.
This ward’s own 2022 turnout was 36.40% (28,315 of 77,782 eligible electors cast a ballot) — compared to a citywide 2022 turnout of 29.7% that year. Source: City of Toronto, City Clerk’s Office, “Elections – Voter Statistics” (2022 dataset), cross-checked against the Clerk’s own 2022 Municipal Election Report.
Who’s running here in 2026 (10)
Every candidate filed in this ward as of 2026-08-16, alphabetical by surname, identical fields for every name. Bios are synthesized only from each candidate’s own published campaign material and registry facts — never from news coverage, opposition material, or this project’s own judgment (see Receipts below).
Jaana Syeda Ali
Jaana Syeda Ali (published on her campaign site as Syeda Jaana Ali) is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on June 30, 2026. Her campaign site, under the banner "Together for a Stronger Beaches-East York," lists five commitments: safer streets and reliable transportation, including safer intersections and reduced speeding; responsible growth and affordable housing that respects neighbourhood character; clean parks and resilient infrastructure; support for local businesses and community services; and accessible, accountable leadership with regular engagement and timely responses. Her site describes more than 15 years of executive leadership and commercial-strategy experience and notes she is a regular volunteer with the Fort York Food Bank.
James Dann
James Dann is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on May 1, 2026. His campaign site describes 25 years working for the City of Toronto managing parks, waterfront, and infrastructure, including projects in the Beaches and East York such as restoring the Leuty Lifeguard Station and Kew Gardens Bandshell. His platform is organized under four headings: "Move Quicker," covering transit reliability and protecting existing bike lanes; "Grow Smarter," covering infrastructure to match growth, affordable and community housing, and a proposed moratorium on new AI data centres pending rules and consultation; "Live Better," covering year-round accessible park washrooms and pairing encampment enforcement with housing offers; and "Go Greener," covering protection of green space and urban tree cover.
Natalie Johnson
Natalie Johnson is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on May 11, 2026. Her current site returns no body text on a plain fetch (confirmed client-rendered as of 2026-08-14), so this bio is based on a 2026-08-06 capture. That capture described her as a former CTV News journalist who spent 16 years covering Toronto City Hall, a Beaches-East York resident and mother of three, and a board member of Community Centre 55 and the Beaches Sandbox. Her stated priorities included capital infrastructure and transit improvements to ease traffic, safe parks and reliable city services, and what she described as reasonable, responsive representation open to good ideas regardless of source.
Tycen Legg
Tycen Legg is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on May 1, 2026. His campaign site publishes a policy platform across several categories. On transit, he lists eliminating TTC slow zones, streetcar and bus priority lanes, expanded Bike Share, and safer intersections near schools. On housing, he lists streamlined approvals and legalizing laneway, garden, and basement suites. On local business, he lists simplified patio permitting and a surcharge on empty storefronts. On parks and environment, he lists community safety audits and expanded urban forestry grants. On governance, he lists a living wage for city employees and support for Toronto becoming a Charter City. A separate "Commitments" section describes plans for regular public office hours and town halls.
Kevin Morrison
Kevin Morrison is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on May 5, 2026. His campaign site describes him as a school board trustee with more than 25 years of community service and 30 years living in Beaches-East York, and states he received a 2023 Queen's Jubilee Award. His platform, published as "Kevin's To-Do List," includes opposing expansion of the Billy Bishop airport, accessible snow removal, more frequent bus and streetcar service, a new school at Main and Danforth, investing in supportive housing, requiring community benefits from developers, and expanding childcare availability, citing his record creating childcare spaces as a trustee.
Adam Smith
Adam Smith is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on May 1, 2026. His campaign site describes 16 years of community involvement, including work with the Beach Community Edible Garden, Meals on Wheels, and advocacy against overdevelopment before the former Ontario Municipal Board. His platform, described on the site as an update of platforms he ran on in 2018 and 2022, is organized into four pillars: "A Livable Planet" (emissions, waste, and green space); "A Circular Economy" (local food security and small-business support); "An Equitable Society" (housing as a human right, youth, seniors, and public services); and a "Ward 19 Transportation Network" plan, including completing the Woodbine bike lanes and opposing expansion of the Billy Bishop airport.
Austin Vieira
Austin Vieira is a candidate for Toronto City Council, Ward 19 Beaches-East York, in the 2026 municipal election, registered on May 7, 2026. A campaign website exists at austinvieira.com; its contents could not be captured for this profile as of August 14, 2026.
Jeff Wahl
Jeff Wahl is a candidate for Toronto City Council, Ward 19 Beaches-East York, in the 2026 municipal election, registered on May 8, 2026. As of August 14, 2026, no campaign website had been located; an Instagram account is on file for the campaign, but its posts were not available to this synthesis from local records.
Devin Wilkins
Devin Wilkins is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on June 9, 2026. His campaign site, under the tagline "Bottom of the Ballot, First for Beaches-East York," describes his family immigrating from Alabama 13 years ago and three years organizing community events including the Beaches Jazz Festival, Beaches Easter Parade, Canada Day Picnic, and Pape Village Block Party. His platform lists three priorities: "Moving Better," including expanded dedicated bus and streetcar lanes and a continuous east-west cycling corridor; "Growing Together," including rezoning for medium-density housing, stronger tenant protections, and rent control on residential properties; and "Thriving Communities," including improved walkability, park upgrades, and support for neighbourhood retail.
Jennie Worden
Jennie Worden is a candidate for Ward 19 Beaches-East York, registered on May 21, 2026, and previously ran in this ward in 2022. Her campaign site describes her as a Communications and Program Manager at the Canadian Journalism Foundation and a former five-year Executive Director of Orchestra Toronto, and notes she is a founding member of East Enders Against Racism and a member of Toronto ACORN, a tenant-advocacy group. Her platform includes accessible, responsive representation through rotating office hours and casework support; connected, safe, and affordable communities, including streetcar revitalization and protections against renoviction; and public-space maintenance and community engagement on development, including keeping beaches and ravines clean and accessible.
The riding, in data — six stories and an atlas
All of the above, and a good deal more, is published as a set of standalone data stories with an interactive atlas behind them — built entirely from Elections Canada’s own returns, the 2021 census and the City’s open map layers. Every figure on every one of them carries its source, its date, alt text and a download of the exact data behind it. No candidate, no party and no individual appears anywhere in the set.
The community, in data
The front door to all six stories and the atlas — every figure with its source, its date, alt text and a download of the exact data behind it.
Two worlds, one street
The flagship scrollytelling piece — fly the participation canyon from the boardwalk to the towers in about ninety seconds.
The canyon didn’t close
Five figures, one claim each: the trend, the advance zones, tenure, advance voting, and the towers.
The tower explorer
Every single-building poll in both ridings, ranked and filterable, each joined to its nearest partner institutions.
Why pods beat blankets
The coverage arithmetic, drawn: what it would take to cover the whole riding against what it takes to cover the gap.
Who reaches whom
The riding’s three information ecosystems as one matrix — and the population no local channel reaches at all.
The same canyon: Scarborough Southwest
The neighbouring by-election riding’s mirror geography, drawn at the same grain, with its federal-layer substitution stated on every figure.
The community atlas
The data-app microsite binding the stories together, with every dataset behind them downloadable.
Geography & boundaries
Legally defined (Elections Ontario boundary text, reproduced on Wikipedia): starts at Victoria Park Ave. & Sunrise Ave., west along Sunrise to the Don River East Branch, along that branch to Taylor Creek, east along the creek to Coxwell Blvd., south on Coxwell to Lake Shore Blvd. E., then a line to Ashbridge's Bay, south along the bay, due south to the city's southern limit (the lake), northeast along that limit, then north on Victoria Park Ave. back to the start. In plain terms: Lake Ontario to the south, Coxwell Avenue on the west, Sunrise Avenue to the north, Victoria Park Avenue on the east. Community council: Toronto and East York. Named neighbourhoods/areas: Upper Beaches (city's "East End-Danforth," with the Woodbine Avenue-to-Coxwell portion called "Woodbine Corridor"), East Danforth (Danforth Village), Old East York. [Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ward_19_Beaches%E2%80%94East_York, accessed 2026-08-14] [Source: https://www.toronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/8c9d-CityPlanning-Map-Ward-19.pdf (City of Toronto ward map), accessed 2026-08-14]
Civic texture — what’s live here
- Danforth GO Station relocation and rebuild. Metrolinx is relocating the Danforth GO station roughly 500m east and rebuilding it to accommodate the Lakeshore East GO expansion. Early works began September 2025 and were slated to run to spring 2026; full construction was to start fall 2026, with completion targeted for 2029. Metrolinx held public information sessions on the plans in October 2025. [Source: https://beachmetro.com/2025/10/02/metrolinx-information-sessions-on-future-plans-for-danforth-go-station-set-for-oct-2-and-9/, accessed 2026-08-14]
- Major Transit Station Area (MTSA) zoning. The City has published zoning-for-Major-Transit-Station-Areas planning material specific to Ward 19 (part of the citywide MTSA framework tied to stations like Main Street and the Danforth GO corridor), a live planning-policy thread relevant to future density near those stations. [Source: https://www.toronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/8e22-city-planning-zoning-for-major-transit-station-areas-toronto-east-york-Ward-19.pdf, accessed 2026-08-14]
- Growth/development, ward-wide (dated context). An October 2023 UrbanToronto ward-level development report characterized Ward 19 as seeing growth activity "enhancing the east end"; treat as historical texture pending a fresh pull, not a current count. [Source: https://urbantoronto.ca/news/2023/10/utpro-instant-reports-growth-ward-19-beaches-east-york-enhancing-east-end.54089, accessed 2026-08-14 — title/existence confirmed via search, full text not independently re-fetched]
- Active City capital works, 2026. The City's own Ward 19 profile page lists a substantial, multi-year Basement Flooding Protection Program along St. Clair Avenue East, Westview Boulevard, and local roads (Phases 1-4, notices running from February 2025 into May 2026), plus Danforth Avenue watermain/sewer upgrades (Main St. to Victoria Park Ave., notices running December 2025-June 2026), Victoria Park Avenue watermain/ sewer replacement and bridge rehabilitation, and Woodbine Avenue bridge rehabilitation under the Metrolinx rail corridor. [Source: https://www.toronto.ca/city-government/data-research-maps/neighbourhoods-communities/ward-profiles/ward-19-beaches-east-york/, accessed 2026-08-14, page itself dated "modified June 8, 2026"]
Transit & development
Subway: TTC Line 2 (Bloor-Danforth) runs along/near the ward's northern edge; Main Street Station sits just north of Danforth Avenue in the ward's western section (exact station-to-ward assignment not independently verified against the boundary polygon). GO: the Lakeshore East line's Danforth GO station is mid-relocation/rebuild (§3), tied to the broader Lakeshore East expansion. Development: current live activity skews toward transit-adjacent infrastructure (Danforth GO, MTSA zoning) and basement-flooding/watermain capital works rather than a single large private redevelopment site, per the City's own construction-notice page.
Local commons
- Beaches Branch, Toronto Public Library — a 1915 Carnegie-funded branch on the south side of Queen Street at the entrance to Kew Gardens; one of three identical Carnegie branches built in Toronto (with Wychwood and High Park). [Source: https://www.torontopubliclibrary.ca/about-the-library/library-history/carnegie-beaches.jsp, accessed 2026-08-14] [Source: https://torontoplaques.ca/Pages/Beaches_Branch, accessed 2026-08-14]
- Kew Gardens — the park the Beaches branch sits at the edge of, a named local landmark. [Source: same as above]
- Light research pass only — a fuller branch/CRC/park list needs the formal geospatial join named in the plan (§6), not this brief.
Toronto Public Library branches and Parks, Forestry & Recreation community/recreation centres located inside this ward’s boundary, joined by geographic coordinates (see Receipts) — complete citywide datasets for both layers, every ward covered.
Public libraries (4)
- Beaches — 2161 Queen Street East, Toronto, On, M4L 1J1
- Danforth/Coxwell — 1675 Danforth Avenue, Toronto, On, M4C 5P2
- Dawes Road — 416 Dawes Road, Toronto, On, M4B 2E8
- Main Street — 137 Main Street, Toronto, On, M4E 2V9
Community & recreation centres (18)
- Adam Beck Community Centre — 79 Lawlor Ave
- Beaches Recreation Centre — 6 Williamson Rd
- Canadian Martyrs Catholic School — 520 Plains Rd
- Da Morrison Middle School — 271 Gledhill Ave
- Earl Beatty Community Centre — 455 Glebeholme Blvd
- East York Memorial Arena — 888 Cosburn Ave
- East York Sports Centre — 901 Cosburn Ave
- Fairmount Park Community Centre — 1757 Gerrard St E
- George Webster Elementary School — 50 Chapman Ave
- Gordon A. Brown Middle School — 2800 St Clair Ave E
- Main Square Community Recreation Centre — 245 Main St
- O'Connor Community Centre — 1386 Victoria Park Ave
- O'Connor Public School — 1665 O'Connor Dr
- Secord Community Centre — 91 Barrington Ave
- Selwyn Public School — 1 Selwyn Ave
- Stan Wadlow Clubhouse — 373 Cedarvale Ave
- Ted Reeve Community Arena — 175 Main St
- Terry Fox Community Centre — 2 Gledhill Ave
Parks aren’t listed here: parks joining is partial citywide — not shown rather than shown unevenly. The citywide parks join has fetched and joined 400 of the dataset’s 1,511 Park-type rows so far; that 400-row sample isn’t evenly distributed enough per ward to publish per-ward park lists or counts responsibly yet.
Local media landscape
- Beach Metro Community News — a non-profit, non-partisan community newspaper founded in 1972, published 23 times a year, distributed free across the Beach(es), East York, and West Scarborough. [Source: https://beachmetro.com/, accessed 2026-08-14]
Networks & local commons
As of August 17, 2026, this project's public organization registry maps 155 organizations directly to Ward 19 (Beaches-East York) — corrected the same day from the 54 this brief first stated, by a registry-wide fix to the tag-format-fragmentation bug named below: the public ward pages had been reading only the single canonical `"Ward 19 (Beaches-East York)"` tag spelling and silently missing every alternate format the registry's own geography join (`org_placements.csv`) already resolves. Of the 54, 18 were from earlier passes, plus 36 new from the ward sweep program's first wave, which took the deeper by-election-era area sweep below and individually re-checked each organization's own address against the actual Ward 19 council boundary (a boundary that is not identical to the Beaches-East York federal riding those rows were originally collected under). The remaining 101 organizations behind today's 155 total are principally bulk City/CRA register rows (early-years childcare, K-12 parent councils, arts-culture) whose tag format the sweep's own count did not yet recognize; 28 of the 155 carry `verified-live` status, the rest `seed-web-verified`.
- Beaches Interfaith Committee — an interfaith committee of roughly 10 member congregations across the ward (no independent website on file; organized through its member congregations).
- Beach Metro Community News — the ward's community newspaper, published since 1972. https://beachmetro.com/
- Danforth East Community Association (DECA) — a residents' association covering East Danforth/Danforth Village. https://deca.to/
- Community Centre 55 — a self-governing, city-funded community recreation centre with an independent community board (the AOCC model): programs, drop-in space and room rentals. https://www.centre55.com/
- Toronto Public Library — Beaches Branch, Danforth/Coxwell Branch, Dawes Road Branch and Main Street Branch — the four TPL branches inside the ward boundary. https://open.toronto.ca/dataset/library-branch-general-information/
- Eight EarlyON Child and Family Centres inside the ward boundary. https://open.toronto.ca/dataset/earlyon-child-and-family-centres/
*(One EarlyON centre's name is spelled "O'Connor EarlyON Child and Famiy Centre" in the City's own dataset, faithful to source; it is written correctly above rather than reproducing the City's typo in reader-facing prose.)*
The 36 rows confirmed inside the ward boundary, spanning categories the earlier count did not yet reach: Beach United Church (faith, https://beachunitedchurch.com/), St. Saviour's Anglican Church (faith), Beach Triangle Residents Association, Greater Beach Residents Association, Beach Lakefront Neighbourhood Association and Balmy Beach Residents' Association (four further residents' associations, alongside DECA above), Goodwood Park Tenants Union and Park Vista Tenants' Association (tenant groups), Main-Gerrard Housing Co-operative and Naismith Co-operative (housing co-ops), Malvern Collegiate Institute and East York Collegiate Institute (TDSB secondary schools), Friends of Small's Creek Ravines (ravine stewardship), East Lynn Park Farmers' Market (https://www.eastlynnparkfarmersmarket.ca/), Beach Celtic Festival and Toronto Beaches Lions Easter Parade (festivals), Fox Theatre (arts), Ted Reeve Hockey Association and East York Baseball Association (youth sport), Beaches Sandbox (https://beachessandbox.com/, a community-partner venue and hub), True Davidson Acres and Main Street Terrace (City long-term-care homes), Beach Garden Society and Stan Wadlow Park Community Garden (food-growing), Toronto Beaches Runners Club, Kew Gardens Tennis Club and Kew Beach Lawn Bowling Club (membership sport clubs), and Pui Hong Chinese Seniors' Program (ethnocultural seniors' programming, run through TNG Neighbourhood Link).
Not every row from the deeper area sweep cleared. A handful of names that were also already on file under slightly different spellings or with a different parenthetical are held pending an address-level check rather than added twice; four rows tied to the by-election itself (a sitting councillor's and MPP's constituency offices, an elections office, and the by-election event itself) were kept out of this civic registry on the same nonpartisan-neutrality rule that keeps riding associations and candidate campaigns out of it everywhere in this project. Separately, the by-election sweep's 48-row list of online-only groups (Facebook pages, newsletters, podcasts) could not be checked against a street address the way the in-person rows were, so it is not yet folded in — a different method than a boundary check is needed there.
This brief's Local Commons section above already names Ward 19's civic-infrastructure anchors; those, plus the organizations above, are the backbone the city-wide network map builds outward from.
These verified rows are a strong start, not a finished map. City-wide organization mapping is underway ward by ward. If you lead, work with, or simply know of an organization rooted in this ward, this project's tribes directory at https://unitetolove.ca/tribes/directory.html is where to add it or correct what's already there — every addition is checked against a public source before it's published.
The ward in numbers (2021 Census)
| Population | 108,500 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41.2 |
| Median household income (2020) | $89,000 |
| Renter / owner household split | 44.2% / 55.8% |
| Top home languages (excl. English/French) | Bengali (2,295), Yue (Cantonese) (1,300), Spanish (950) |
| Land area | 16.8 km² |
How Beaches—East York actually participates
Turnout, and only turnout. Everything in this half of the page is the share of registered electors who cast a ballot — the one figure in an election-results file that carries no partisan information at all. It says who showed up; it never says who anyone voted for. Elections Canada publishes poll-level results by candidate; this project committed to publishing participation only, never a vote for anyone, and no party’s vote is mapped anywhere on this site. Nothing below names a candidate or a party.
At the 45th general election (April 28, 2025) the riding had 82,102 electors on the list and 59,245 ballots were cast — a turnout of 72.16%.
Half of it happened before election day. 29,083 ballots — 49.09% of everything cast — were advance, mail or special ballots, which have no home polling division. Only 30,162 ballots (36.74% of electors) were cast at a polling division on election day itself. That is why a straight sum of the per-poll file produces 36.74% and not 72.16%: the two are different questions, not different answers to the same one, and every figure on this page says which one it is.
And the riding is not one place. Across polling divisions with at least 50 electors, election-day turnout runs from 22.22% (polling division 49, 378 electors) to 69.78% (polling division 401, 139 electors) — a 47.6 percentage-point spread inside a single riding, on a number that has nothing to do with which party anyone supports.
Election day, neighbourhood by neighbourhood
| Neighbourhood | Polls | Electors | Election-day ballots | Election-day turnout 2025 | 2021 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birchcliffe-Cliffside | 1 | 553 | 176 | 31.8% | not in the 2021 riding | — |
| Taylor-Massey | 13 | 5,585 | 1,892 | 33.9% | 31.4% | +2.5 |
| The Beaches | 37 | 16,355 | 5,716 | 34.9% | 37.5% | -2.6 |
| Danforth East York | 10 | 4,686 | 1,645 | 35.1% | 32.1% | +3.0 |
| Woodbine-Lumsden | 13 | 5,961 | 2,154 | 36.1% | 36.3% | -0.2 |
| O'Connor-Parkview | 28 | 12,467 | 4,576 | 36.7% | 38.2% | -1.5 |
| Danforth | 4 | 1,949 | 717 | 36.8% | 31.4% | +5.4 |
| Woodbine Corridor | 20 | 9,601 | 3,614 | 37.6% | 35.6% | +2.0 |
| East End-Danforth | 36 | 15,380 | 6,146 | 40.0% | 36.8% | +3.2 |
| Old East York | 3 | 1,272 | 512 | 40.3% | 28.9% | +11.4 |
| Victoria Village | 2 | 1,138 | 465 | 40.9% | 38.2% | +2.7 |
Total turnout, by advance-poll zone
The table above is election day only. The table below is everything — advance ballots included — at the coarser grain Elections Canada’s advance zones make possible, and it is the only place in this profile where a true total-turnout figure exists below the riding level. Read at that grain the riding runs from 55.9% to 75.7%: a 19.8-point gap between two parts of the same riding. And the share cast in advance moves with it: across these 15 zones the two correlate at r = +0.75, running from 35.7% to 54.2% of a zone’s ballots. The parts of the riding that vote least also vote early least — advance voting, which is supposed to widen access, currently widens the gap.
| Advance zone | Mainly covers | Electors | Total turnout (advance + election day) | Share of its ballots cast in advance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 | East End-Danforth (14); Taylor-Massey (1) | 5,910 | 55.9% | 40.9% |
| 603 | Taylor-Massey (12) | 4,948 | 58.5% | 40.7% |
| 602 | O'Connor-Parkview (11); Taylor-Massey (2) | 5,178 | 58.7% | 36.7% |
| 600 | O'Connor-Parkview (8); Victoria Village (3) | 4,973 | 59.0% | 36.5% |
| 604 | Taylor-Massey (7); Woodbine-Lumsden (5); East End-Danforth (2) | 5,704 | 63.5% | 46.7% |
| 610 | East End-Danforth (16) | 5,679 | 66.1% | 35.7% |
| 605 | Woodbine-Lumsden (6); Danforth East York (4); Old East York (2); Taylor-Massey (1) | 5,774 | 66.4% | 46.7% |
| 601 | O'Connor-Parkview (12); Old East York (1) | 5,017 | 68.9% | 44.0% |
| 607 | Woodbine Corridor (8); East End-Danforth (4); Danforth (1) | 5,392 | 70.7% | 44.0% |
| 614 | The Beaches (10); Birchcliffe-Cliffside (1) | 4,992 | 71.4% | 51.7% |
| 611 | Woodbine Corridor (11); The Beaches (1) | 5,771 | 71.9% | 47.6% |
| 612 | The Beaches (10); Woodbine Corridor (2) | 5,539 | 73.4% | 51.0% |
| 606 | Danforth East York (7); Woodbine-Lumsden (3); Danforth (3) | 5,833 | 73.9% | 49.2% |
| 613 | The Beaches (12) | 5,229 | 75.0% | 54.2% |
| 609 | East End-Danforth (9); The Beaches (4) | 5,393 | 75.7% | 45.4% |
The towers
16 of the riding’s polling divisions are a single building each. Among the 14 of them with at least 100 electors, election-day turnout runs from 30.4% to 75.2% — the widest and most concentrated version of the same pattern. These are counted as polls, never as residents: nothing here is about any person who lives in any of these buildings, and no address, unit or name appears in any file behind this page.
| Polling division | Neighbourhood | Advance zone | Electors | Election-day turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 | O'Connor-Parkview | 601 | 10 | 0.0% |
| 403 | Taylor-Massey | 603 | 879 | 30.4% |
| 409 | East End-Danforth | 608 | 361 | 31.3% |
| 410 | East End-Danforth | 608 | 418 | 31.3% |
| 405 | Taylor-Massey | 603 | 849 | 33.7% |
| 404 | Taylor-Massey | 603 | 474 | 33.8% |
| 411 | East End-Danforth | 608 | 386 | 33.9% |
| 406 | Taylor-Massey | 603 | 721 | 35.2% |
| 412 | East End-Danforth | 608 | 219 | 36.5% |
| 407 | Taylor-Massey | 603 | 669 | 37.2% |
| 400 | Victoria Village | 600 | 405 | 41.5% |
| 414 | East End-Danforth | 607 | 176 | 50.6% |
| 408 | Woodbine-Lumsden | 605 | 191 | 53.4% |
| 415 | Woodbine Corridor | 607 | 198 | 64.6% |
| 401 | O'Connor-Parkview | 601 | 129 | 75.2% |
| 413 | East End-Danforth | 608 | 0 | no electors on the list |
What changed since 2021 — and the correction we had to publish
Comparing 2021 to 2025 in this riding is harder than it looks: the 2023 redistribution redrew the boundary and renumbered every polling division, so the two years are only comparable at the neighbourhood grain, and only after the merged polls of 2021 are folded onto the rows that actually received their electors. Done properly, the riding moved 35.8% → 36.8% on election day — +1.0 points across 10 neighbourhoods present in both years.
- Old East York +11.4 points
- Danforth +5.4 points
- East End-Danforth +3.2 points
- Danforth East York +3.0 points
- Victoria Village +2.7 points
- Taylor-Massey +2.5 points
- Woodbine Corridor +2.0 points
- Woodbine-Lumsden -0.2 points
- O'Connor-Parkview -1.5 points
- The Beaches -2.6 points
The row worth pausing on is Taylor-Massey, the riding’s tower core and its lowest-participating neighbourhood: +2.5 points. It neither fell further behind nor caught up. Whatever produced the riding’s small recovery since 2021, it did not happen there.
And the gap between the riding’s neighbourhoods narrowed. Across the 10 neighbourhoods measurable in both years, the distance between the highest-participating and the lowest-participating went from 9.3 points in 2021 to 7.0 points in 2025. The riding’s participation gap is real, it is large, and it did not get wider.
Why this section says 36.8% and the section above says 36.74%. They are the same ballots over two different lists of electors, and the difference is the point of the section above. The riding-wide 36.74% divides election-day ballots by every elector on the list — including the 29,083 who voted in advance, by mail or by special ballot and therefore have no home polling division. The 36.8% here divides the same ballots by the 74,947 electors actually attached to an ordinary polling division inside a mapped neighbourhood, which is the only basis on which 2021 and 2025 can be compared at all — and it is computed identically in both years. The two are a tenth of a point apart; neither is wrong, and neither is the other.
Who lives here — and how that tracks participation
This is the census joined to the election returns, neighbourhood by neighbourhood: City of Toronto neighbourhood profiles (2021 census) against Elections Canada’s own poll-by-poll file. It is the single richest table this project holds on the riding, and it is the reason the participation numbers above are not a mystery.
| Neighbourhood | Population | Renter households | Homes in 5+ storey apartments | Median household income (2020) | Low income (LIM-AT) | Recent immigrants (2016–21) | Aged 65+ | Election-day turnout 2025 | Change since 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor-Massey | 15,025 | 66.3% | 75.8% | $68,500 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 33.9% | +2.5 |
| The Beaches | 21,510 | 36.6% | 7.6% | $116,000 | 7.9% | 2.3% | 17.1% | 34.9% | -2.6 |
| Danforth East York | 17,065 | 30.9% | 12.2% | $101,000 | 9.3% | 2.4% | 16.6% | 35.1% | +3.0 |
| Woodbine-Lumsden | 7,915 | 33.6% | 17.6% | $96,000 | 10.0% | 3.7% | 16.1% | 36.1% | -0.2 |
| O'Connor-Parkview | 18,405 | 54.2% | 31.5% | $77,000 | 13.6% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 36.7% | -1.5 |
| Danforth | 9,305 | 36.7% | 10.1% | $98,000 | 10.3% | 1.8% | 17.8% | 36.8% | +5.4 |
| Woodbine Corridor | 12,205 | 40.1% | 10.5% | $97,000 | 11.1% | 2.7% | 12.3% | 37.6% | +2.0 |
| East End-Danforth | 21,840 | 45.4% | 23.6% | $90,000 | 11.9% | 3.5% | 13.7% | 40.0% | +3.2 |
| Old East York | 9,160 | 34.2% | 13.7% | $96,000 | 8.3% | 3.4% | 18.2% | 40.3% | +11.4 |
What correlates — and the warning that has to sit beside it
These are computed across the 9 neighbourhoods in the table directly above, on the election-day turnout column in that same table — not imported from anywhere, and not computed on a different set of rows than the one published here.
| Against election-day turnout | Correlation (r) | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| Households paying 30%+ of income on shelter | -0.51 | moderate — more of it goes with lower turnout |
| Bengali spoken at home | -0.46 | moderate — more of it goes with lower turnout |
| Recent immigrants (2016–21) | -0.40 | weak — more of it goes with lower turnout |
| Homes in 5+ storey apartments | -0.38 | weak — more of it goes with lower turnout |
| Low income (LIM-AT) | -0.32 | weak — more of it goes with lower turnout |
| Renter households | -0.27 | weak — more of it goes with lower turnout |
| Aged 65+ | +0.16 | essentially no relationship in this sample |
| Median household income | +0.07 | essentially no relationship in this sample |
Languages spoken at home
The riding’s north-east third is not served by an English-only public conversation, and the census says so precisely.
| Neighbourhood | Bengali | Tamil | Tagalog | Cantonese | Urdu | Greek |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danforth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 2.5% |
| Danforth East York | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 4.4% |
| East End-Danforth | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| O'Connor-Parkview | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% |
| Old East York | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 3.5% |
| Taylor-Massey | 12.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| The Beaches | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Woodbine Corridor | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Woodbine-Lumsden | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
What a representative room would look like
Attendance is the wrong measure of a public meeting in a riding shaped like this one; representativeness is the right one. Population-weighted across the riding’s 109,937 residents, a room that actually looked like Beaches—East York would be:
| Dimension | The riding | A room of 50 | A room of 150 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renter households | 45.3% | 23 people | 68 people |
| Aged 65+ | 15.2% | 8 people | 23 people |
| Immigrants | 32.2% | 16 people | 48 people |
| Low income | 11.7% | 6 people | 18 people |
| Bengali spoken at home | 2.1% | 1 person | 3 people |
| Tenants paying 30%+ of income on rent | 39.2% | 20 people | 59 people |
Where nobody is — the riding’s negative space
Almost every civic map published about a place shows what is there. This one shows what is not. We put a 120-metre grid over the riding, clipped it to land (the riding polygon runs out into Lake Ontario; 116 sample points over water were dropped rather than counted, which would have inflated the headline by a quarter), and measured every one of the 1,161 remaining points to the nearest community institution with a real, walkable address.
- About 11,918 residents — 10.8% of the riding — live more than a 600-metre walk (roughly seven minutes) from any community institution on our map.
- 97% of that entire gap sits in one neighbourhood: O’Connor-Parkview. 18,405 residents, 62.7% of its residential land beyond the walk, about 11,531 people in the gap. It is 54% renter and 39% immigrant, and it is nowhere near the commercial corridor where community work in this riding naturally concentrates — so no amount of corridor work will touch it.
- It is also the riding’s largest population of Tagalog and Greek speakers and its second-largest of Urdu speakers, and it carries zero organisations with any evidenced capability in any of those languages.
The language supply gap
Of 99 community organisations checked at priority, 18 have evidence of operating in at least one of Bengali, Cantonese, Mandarin, Tagalog, Urdu or Greek — and every single one of them sits in one corridor, the stretch of the Danforth between Main Street and Victoria Park. Not one sits in The Beaches, O’Connor-Parkview, Woodbine Corridor, Woodbine-Lumsden, Danforth, Old East York or Victoria Village. A further 25 report some interpretation route without running a programme in the language themselves. The remainder are recorded as unknown, which is not the same as no.
Rooms you can actually get into
Of 23 bookable meeting rooms inside the riding, exactly 1 is verified end to end — street, to an accessible transit stop, to a step-free door, to a lift, to an accessible washroom on the same floor. It is in The Beaches, at the opposite end of the riding from the neighbourhoods with the least coverage and the most renters. This audit counts buildings, stops, rooms and provisions. It does not count disabled people, and this project holds no data about who in this riding is disabled.
How word travels here
This riding still runs on print, email and Facebook — in that order. There is no riding subreddit (re-confirmed against a 272-community census of Toronto subreddits), no neighbourhood Discord, no publicly joinable WhatsApp community, no local radio station, no riding-native video creator, and no independent local newsletter beyond the ones the institutions described below already publish themselves. What it has instead is a non-profit community newspaper that has published since 1972 and is still delivered riding-wide by volunteers, a dense archipelago of Facebook groups, and — running in parallel and barely touching either — a substantially separate Bengali-language media system anchored on the Danforth.
Three information ecosystems, which overlap far less than their geography suggests: the Beach and Upper Beaches system (English, older, homeowner-weighted, organised around that newspaper and the business-improvement-area accounts near it); the Danforth Village and East Danforth system (mixed, renter- and family-weighted, organised around an eighteen-year-old neighbourhood association with its own blog, newsletter, weekly farmers market and autumn arts fair); and the Bengali-language system in Crescent Town and Taylor-Massey (a Facebook-first digital weekly, two Bengali-language newspapers distributed through mosques and Danforth businesses, and Canada’s first 24-hour Bengali television channel). Cutting across all three is a parents’ network of some 3,700 members running fifty-plus playgroups a session across four neighbourhoods — the best-organised non-institutional network in the riding.
The rooms, measured
Every figure below was read off the group’s own public description page, logged out, on 2026-08-15 — these are public rooms, and nothing about their members was collected, inferred or stored.
| Room | Members | Note |
|---|---|---|
| The riding’s largest general Facebook group | 32,865 | about 677 posts a month |
| The east-Danforth corridor group | 24,041 | strict local-only and no-fundraiser rules |
| The largest buy-and-sell group | 16,484 | the highest raw traffic in the riding, and a passive-reach surface rather than a conversation |
| The East York memory/identity group | 18,423 | explicit rule that political content must be neutral, factual and locally relevant |
| The riding’s Buy Nothing gift-economy group | 374 | the whole gift-economy layer, and it is tiny — roughly one eighty-eighth of the largest room, in a riding of over a hundred thousand people |
What neighbours actually report to the City
In the 2025 calendar year the riding filed 27,012 service requests — 247 per 1,000 residents against a citywide 179, an index of 1.38. The honest comparisons are the narrow ones, because they strip out the housing-form effect: a house on curbside collection has three bins and three separate chances to report a missed pickup, while a 300-unit tower has one bin and one superintendent who calls once, or never. On the public realm the riding runs 105 per 1,000 against 80 citywide; on the strictest cut of all — roads, sidewalks, snow and ice, delivered to a bungalow and a twenty-storey slab on identical terms — 50 against 39.
Renting here, and what is proposed on this land
The riding holds 202 registered apartment buildings with 13,170 rental units between them on the City’s RentSafeTO register. Against that, the City’s development pipeline carries 14,266 proposed residential units: more housing is proposed in this riding than exists in its entire registered rental stock today.
A trap worth naming, because it is easy to fall into. The City publishes one row per street address inside a development application. The riding’s 514 rows collapse to 219 distinct applications. Counting rows instead of applications overstates the pipeline by roughly two and a third times, and that is exactly the mistake a quick read of the open data produces.
On building condition, 57 buildings show a declining trajectory on at least one signal — either a falling score within the pre-2023 inspection era, or a drop of fifteen or more percentile points in their standing among the riding’s own buildings across the 2023 rubric change. None flags on both. Raw scores are never compared across that rubric change anywhere in this work, because the two scales do not mean the same thing; only a building’s rank among its neighbours survives the change. Buildings and companies only — nothing here is about any tenant.
Two accessibility numbers that are routinely quoted as one. 68 of the 202 registered buildings (34%) report an entrance you can get through without steps. Inside them, 530 of the 13,170 registered homes (4.0%) are recorded as barrier-free. A ramp at the door is not an accessible home; the register is precise enough to show the difference, which also means the entrance figure is the more flattering of the two and the one most likely to be quoted alone.
Things anyone here can use
Not research — just the public infrastructure of the riding, counted from the City’s own open data and clipped to the boundary: 33 poster columns and 33 poster boards where anything may legally be posted, 23 park washrooms, and 47 public drinking-water sources. The libraries and community and recreation centres inside the ward are listed under Local commons above, with addresses.
One date that matters more than it looks. The by-election is Monday, August 31, 2026. Toronto’s standard lease-turnover date is Tuesday, September 1. The vote lands on the last full day of the old address — so anyone moving that week votes where they used to live, or not at all, and a student leaving for an out-of-town university in late August may already be gone on election day while still being here for the advance polls of August 21–24. For that group the advance poll is not a convenience; it is the only poll. The riding holds 5,547 people aged 15–19 and 5,423 aged 20–24.
Get involved — from thirty seconds to a year
Everything on this page is published so that anyone who lives here can use it: there is no membership, no gate and nothing to belong to. If you want to do something with it, the doors below start at thirty seconds and stop wherever you like — every one of them is optional, every one of them is free to copy or fork, and none of them asks who you vote for.
- The ladder — what you can do today: thirty seconds, an hour, an evening, a week, a season, a year. Every rung a real door, every rung optional.
- The Harvest — add three lines to one public record: a vision for 2030, a complaint about what is broken, or a neighbour worth naming.
- Add your name to the count — a name and a way to reach you is the whole first ask; everything after that is optional.
- The mobilization framework — for anyone who already leads a room and wants that room, and every room like it, to act together. Free, forkable, evidence-based, nothing to join.
- The plan — one year, all-out — what this city could do in a single year, month by month, with every number labelled as a target rather than a promise.
- The conversation kits — free, open kits for running your own conversation about Toronto’s future, at a kitchen table or in a hall.
- The mutual-aid referral directory — the doors that already exist in and near this riding, each one listed with its source and the date it was last checked.
- The letters — written to the people this city keeps writing about instead of to. Read one; pass it to someone it is about.
How we know this, and what it cannot tell you
Publishing the method is part of the work, not an appendix to it. Everything above is built from published open data, joined by scripts that live in this project’s repository, and every layer is rebuildable from nothing with a single command chain.
The datasets, and their licences
- Elections Canada — poll-by-poll results for the 44th and 45th general elections in electoral district 35007, and Elections Canada’s own polling-division boundary files. Crown copyright, reproduced as factual participation information. Fetched 2026-08-15; the 2021 layer rebuilt 2026-08-16.
- Statistics Canada, 2021 Census, via the City of Toronto’s Neighbourhood Profiles — population, tenure, dwelling type, income, low-income prevalence, age bands, recent-immigrant share, shelter-cost burden and home language. Open Government Licence – Toronto over Statistics Canada data.
- City of Toronto Open Data — Neighbourhoods, Green Spaces, Business Improvement Areas, Parks and Recreation Facilities, Apartment Building Registration and Evaluation (RentSafeTO), Development Pipeline, Development Applications, 311 Service Requests, Street Furniture, Park Washrooms and Drinking Water Sources. Open Government Licence – Toronto.
- OpenStreetMap — geocoding, land use, transit stops, the riding boundary and an institutional sweep, all of it labelled unverified wherever it has not been confirmed at source. ODbL 1.0, © OpenStreetMap contributors.
- TTC routes and schedules (GTFS) via Toronto Open Data, OGL – Toronto — stop coverage and wheelchair-accessibility flags.
What this project refuses to do
- Turnout only, never partisan geography. Elections Canada publishes results by candidate at the poll level. We hold those files and have deliberately never mapped them. No party’s vote appears on any map or in any dataset this project publishes.
- No individuals. Institutions and public roles only, counted rather than named. The finest geography anywhere in this work is the polling division — a few blocks — and no address-level record is ever published.
- No voters list, ever. Election law gives it to candidates and parties. This is not a campaign, we are not entitled to it, and we would not take it.
- No modelled persuasion scores and no targeting model of any kind.
- Participation only, never a vote for anyone. A campaign wants your vote; this is a neighbours’ project, and it can only help you cast one, for whoever you choose.
Three counts of the same place, and why they differ
Three independent measures of how many people live here sit within 578 people of each other — half of one percent: Statistics Canada’s count for federal electoral district 35007 is 109,359, the City’s count for Ward 19 is 109,465, and this project’s own method — spreading census population over residential land only and clipping it to the riding boundary — gives 109,937. They differ because the federal riding and the city ward are not the same shape: they are drawn by different bodies under different rules and share their cardinal boundary streets without sharing a map. Where a figure on this page is a riding figure it says so; where it is a ward figure it says so. If you need to know which federal riding your own address is in, Elections Canada’s own lookup is the only answer that cannot go stale.
Our own defect record
This project keeps a register of what its own published work got wrong, and fixes it at the generator rather than in the rendered page. The 2026-08-16 pass found and corrected a 2021 merged-poll denominator error that had produced one badly inflated neighbourhood figure, one badly inflated change figure, a literal missing value served as part of a public download, and a headline claim pointing in the wrong direction. All four were fixed the same day and are described in full in the correction notice above. This generator now re-derives each of the affected figures from the source data every time it runs and refuses to write anything at all if one of them has moved.
What else is on your ballot
Every Toronto voter marks three races on October 26, 2026: this ward’s councillor (above), the citywide mayor, and one school trustee.
- Mayor (citywide — the same race for every ward) — 42 candidates registered as of 2026-08-14, identical treatment: the mayoral race card.
- School trustee — one seat, for whichever of Toronto’s four school boards matches your school-support designation. Trustee-district boundaries do not in general line up with the 25 council wards; here is what this project has established for THIS ward, tiered by how confidently each is sourced:
- Conseil scolaire Viamonde (French public) — Toronto-Centre (Secteur 2, Annexe CENTRAL) (race card) — confirmed exact from the board’s own official regulatory determination document (Détermination et répartition des conseillers scolaires, Conseil scolaire Viamonde, March 2026, Annexe C).
- Toronto Catholic District School Board (TCDSB) — Ward 11 (race card) — confirmed from the board’s own published ward page.
- CSC MonAvenir (French Catholic) — this ward falls in one of MonAvenir’s two Toronto régions (Toronto-Est or Toronto-Ouest); the board has not published a ward-level boundary document, so which région applies here is not resolved — a region-level statement, not a guess at which one.
- Toronto District School Board (TDSB) — local reporting places this ward in TDSB Ward 10 — not yet verified against an official board document (race card); see this ward’s precision note below.
This ward’s trustee-crosswalk precision note: TDSB confirmed (Beach Metro, 2026-05-14: 'the former TDSB wards of Beaches-East York and Scarborough Southwest have now been joined into one electoral area called Ward 10'). TCDSB confirmed high-confidence (TCDSB's own board page names Ward11 'East York, Toronto'). Viamonde exact - note this ward is grouped into Viamonde's CENTRAL secteur, not NORD-EST, despite its East York geography; taken directly from the board's own official Annexe C, not inferred. MonAvenir not disambiguated.
What this page doesn’t cover yet
This ward’s research brief names these additional gaps, plainly, rather than guessing over them:
- Main Street Station's precise inclusion within Ward 19's polygon is stated from general geography (it sits just north of Danforth near the ward's western edge), not a verified point-in-polygon check — flagged, not asserted as precise.
- The October 2023 UrbanToronto growth report's full text was not independently re-fetched (search-result confirmation of the article's existence/title only) — its specific project list should be pulled directly before use in a public-facing profile.
- No current-year (2026) comprehensive private-development-application count was pulled for this ward — a full pipeline needs the City's Application Information Centre, not attempted.
- Trustee-ward crosswalk not attempted here — already a named citywide gap (22 of 25 wards, per `profiles/`), out of this brief's scope.
- No riding-level poll of this by-election exists — none has been published by anyone. Seat projections circulating for this riding are models built from national and regional numbers, not measurements of opinion here, and this page does not reproduce them as if they were.
- Every turnout figure here is one election out of date the moment the polls close. The ingestion path for the August 31 result is built and dry-run clean; the figures above will be refreshed once Elections Canada publishes.
- The census layer is at neighbourhood grain, not dissemination-area grain. A finer join is possible and has not been built, so every demographic figure here is a share-weighted neighbourhood average rather than a block-level one.
- Nothing on this page has been translated and verified in any language other than English, in a riding where the census shows a substantial population that a purely English public conversation does not reach. Drafts exist; none has been confirmed by a named reviewer, and none will be published until one is.
- Nobody has asked a resident of this riding what they need. Everything above is the supply side — what is here, where it is, who it reaches. The demand side is not data we hold, and no amount of open data substitutes for it.
- A full address-to-trustee-district crosswalk is not complete for every board (school board trustee races do not share the 25-ward boundary map): for this ward, TDSB carries a news-reported mapping, not yet verified against an official board document and TCDSB is resolved to one exact TCDSB ward; CSC MonAvenir is resolved only to a region (Toronto-Est or Toronto-Ouest), never a ward, for every ward citywide. Conseil scolaire Viamonde is the one board fully resolved, exact, for every ward. See the tiered breakdown and this ward’s precision note in “What else is on your ballot” above.
- Libraries and community/recreation centres are now geospatially joined to this ward’s boundary (see “What’s live here, by the numbers” under Local commons above — complete citywide datasets for both layers). Parks joining is partial citywide; not shown rather than shown unevenly (400 of 1,511 City-classified park-type rows fetched and joined so far).
Receipts — where every figure on this page comes from
- Council race and 2022 baseline: this project’s Toronto elections registry (race ON-toronto-council-w19), as_of 2026-08-16.
- Filed 2026 candidates: the same registry, 10 rows for this race, as_of 2026-08-16 — re-pulled from the City Clerk’s candidate feed and refreshed after nominations close 2026-08-21.
- Candidate bios: synthesized only from each candidate’s own published campaign material (their website, their own social accounts, their own platform document) and registry facts already on file — never from news coverage, opposition material, or inference beyond what the candidate has themself published. A candidate with no captured public material is stated plainly, never guessed over. As of 2026-08-14.
- 2021 Census figures: City of Toronto Ward Profiles (25-Ward Model), Statistics Canada 2021 Census custom tabulations, prepared by Strategic Initiatives, Policy & Analysis, City Planning Division, City of Toronto, December 2023 (`2023-wardprofiles-2011-2021-censusdata_rev0719.xlsx`, sheet "2021 One Variable"). Household income figures reflect the 2020 reference year used by the 2021 Census.
- Land area: City of Toronto Ward Profiles geographic-areas file, published December 2023 (`2023-WardProfiles-GeographicAreas.xlsx`).
- Geography, civic texture, transit/development, local commons, local media: this ward’s research brief, researched 2026-08-14 — full source list below.
- Dataset-wide registrant figures: the 2026-08-14 Toronto figures pull, from the City of Toronto Clerk’s official candidate feeds.
- This ward’s own 2022 turnout: City of Toronto, City Clerk’s Office, “Elections – Voter Statistics” (2022 dataset), cross-checked against the Clerk’s own 2022 Municipal Election Report. (per-ward figures joined 2026-08-15).
- Libraries and community/recreation centres: City of Toronto Open Data — Toronto Public Library branch list and the Parks, Forestry & Recreation “parks-and-recreation-facilities” dataset, joined to the 25-ward boundary layer by coordinates, 2026-08-15 (both layers complete citywide).
- School-board trustee crosswalk: Conseil scolaire Viamonde’s own official regulatory determination document (exact, all 25 wards); Toronto Catholic District School Board’s own published ward pages (exact where cited, one-of-two where noted unresolved); TDSB local news reporting (not yet verified against an official board document); CSC MonAvenir’s own election page (region-level only) — built 2026-08-15, see this ward’s precision note above.
And for the riding-wide sections of this page — participation, the 2021–2025 change, who lives here, coverage, media, 311, housing and the things anyone can use:
- Participation, turnout by neighbourhood, advance-zone totals and the single-building polls: Elections Canada poll-by-poll results and polling-division boundary files, electoral district 35007, 45th general election (2025-04-28), Crown copyright — computed by this project 2026-08-15 and recomputed from the committed data every time this page is generated.
- The 2021–2025 change: the same source for the 44th general election (2021-09-20) under the previous representation order, joined at neighbourhood grain with every boundary and merged-poll note carried per row — rebuilt and re-verified 2026-08-16.
- Census, language, tenure, income and representativeness figures: Statistics Canada 2021 Census via City of Toronto Neighbourhood Profiles (OGL – Toronto), joined 2026-08-15, change column corrected 2026-08-16.
- Coverage, land use and the gap analysis: OpenStreetMap (ODbL 1.0) with City of Toronto Neighbourhoods and Green Spaces (OGL – Toronto) as land and parkland masks, computed 2026-08-15.
- 311, housing, development and street-furniture figures: City of Toronto Open Data, OGL – Toronto, fetched 2026-08-15 — aggregated only, never at address level.
- Media and online-community figures: each outlet’s and each group’s own public pages, read 2026-08-15; a 272-community census of Toronto subreddits.
This ward’s research-brief sources:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ward_19_Beaches%E2%80%94East_York — accessed 2026-08-14
- https://www.toronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/8c9d-CityPlanning-Map-Ward-19.pdf — accessed 2026-08-14
- https://beachmetro.com/2025/10/02/metrolinx-information-sessions-on-future-plans-for-danforth-go-station-set-for-oct-2-and-9/ — accessed 2026-08-14
- https://www.toronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/8e22-city-planning-zoning-for-major-transit-station-areas-toronto-east-york-Ward-19.pdf — accessed 2026-08-14
- https://urbantoronto.ca/news/2023/10/utpro-instant-reports-growth-ward-19-beaches-east-york-enhancing-east-end.54089 — accessed 2026-08-14 (title/existence confirmed via search only, dated October 2023)
- https://www.toronto.ca/city-government/data-research-maps/neighbourhoods-communities/ward-profiles/ward-19-beaches-east-york/ — accessed 2026-08-14 (page dated "modified June 8, 2026")
- https://www.torontopubliclibrary.ca/about-the-library/library-history/carnegie-beaches.jsp — accessed 2026-08-14
- https://torontoplaques.ca/Pages/Beaches_Branch — accessed 2026-08-14
- https://beachmetro.com/ — accessed 2026-08-14
Per-candidate research notes, QA flags, and source-capture logs are kept in this project’s internal working files, not published here; every bio and every fact on this page is drawn from that work but the page itself states the fact, not the working notes behind it.
Found a mistake?
That’s the system working. Every figure on this page traces to a public source or a candidate’s own published material, cited in the Receipts section above; if one is wrong, out of date, or reads differently than the source supports, we want to know before anyone else repeats it. Send it to the corrections page — it takes thirty seconds, and every correction is published, dated, and left visible.